Economist cover 1988 bitcoin
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Over 24 hours the Dow dropped a staggering Coincidentally or not , Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have reached an unprecedented level of global popularity over the past 12 months. In time, though, its value against national currencies would cease to matter, because people would choose it for its convenience and the stability of its purchasing power. Proposals for eventual monetary union proliferated five and ten years ago, but they hardly envisaged the setbacks of Pain in the Pharma chain: is Blockchain the Remedy? Jan Nieuwenhuijs.
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rising phoenix crypto
With unco-ordinated economic policies, currencies can get only more volatile. In all these ways national economic boundaries are slowly dissolving. As the trend continues, the appeal of a currency union across at least the main industrial countries will seem irresistible to everybody except foreign-exchange traders and governments. In the phoenix zone, economic adjustment to shifts in relative prices would happen smoothly and automatically, rather as it does today between different regions within large economies a brief on pages explains how.
The absence of all currency risk would spur trade, investment and employment.
The phoenix zone would impose tight constraints on national governments. There would be no such thing, for instance, as a national monetary policy. The world phoenix supply would be fixed by a new central bank, descended perhaps from the IMF. The world inflation rate — and hence, within narrow margins, each national inflation rate- would be in its charge. Each country could use taxes and public spending to offset temporary falls in demand, but it would have to borrow rather than print money to finance its budget deficit.
Has the 1988 Economist Magazine Prediction come true?
With no recourse to the inflation tax, governments and their creditors would be forced to judge their borrowing and lending plans more carefully than they do today. This means a big loss of economic sovereignty, but the trends that make the phoenix so appealing are taking that sovereignty away in any case.
Even in a world of more-or-less floating exchange rates, individual governments have seen their policy independence checked by an unfriendly outside world. As the next century approaches, the natural forces that are pushing the world towards economic integration will offer governments a broad choice. They can go with the flow, or they can build barricades. Preparing the way for the phoenix will mean fewer pretended agreements on policy and more real ones. It will mean allowing and then actively promoting the private-sector use of an international money alongside existing national monies.